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Market UpdatesJuly 14, 2025

Markets Wobble as Tariffs Return – But Long-Term Resilience Prevails

Hoxton BlogMarkets Wobble as Tariffs Return – But Long-Term Resilience Prevails

  • Market Updates

Tariffs returned to the spotlight last week, after U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to impose 30% levies on imports from the European Union and Mexico.

Trump had previously paused some of his most aggressive import taxes for 90 days, a reprieve set to expire on 9 July. However, with only a few tentative trade frameworks in place ahead of that deadline, he confirmed last week that the new implementation date would be 1 August. 

The measures include 25% tariffs on imports from Japan, South Korea, and others, along with proposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 40% on goods from BRICS-aligned countries – Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, and the UAE. 

With many countries vowing to retaliate, fears of a broader trade war have resurfaced. Additional sector-specific proposals were also announced, including a potential 50% tariff on copper and duties of up to 200% on pharmaceutical products. Trump did indicate that some of these measures could be delayed by 12 to 18 months. 

So far, the EU has held off on retaliatory tariffs as officials race to strike a deal with the White House before the 1 August deadline. Meanwhile, Mexico’s economy ministry stated that a bilateral working group is seeking an alternative arrangement to avoid the 30% U.S. tariffs. 

How Did Markets React?

Markets sold off sharply early in the week due to uncertainty around trade policies and fears of retaliatory tariffs disrupting global supply chains; major indexes dropped – Dow -0.94%, S&P 500 -0.79%, Nasdaq -0.91%. 

Index 

Weekly Change 

YTD Performance 

Key Driver This Week 

S&P 500 

+0.4% 

+6.8% 

Rebound on dovish Fed talk & liquidity inflow outlook 

Euro STOXX 50 

+0.5% 

+6.6% 

Earnings resilience; less exposed to U.S. tariffs 

FTSE 100 

Record Close 

+9% 

Strong commodity sector + reform hopes (stamp duty) 

Trade-sensitive companies led the decline, with Tesla, Apple, and Alphabet among the hardest hit due to their significant global exposure. 

Elon Musk’s surprise political move launching the ‘America Party’ raised investor worries about his focus on Tesla’s business. This triggered a sharp selloff in Tesla shares and dragged broader tech sentiment down. 

But investors saw the trade tensions as primarily affecting the U.S. and Asia, not Europe directly. 

Germany’s DAX rose about 1.2% and the STOXX 600 gained 0.4%, driven by investor demand for relatively safer, undervalued European stocks amid global uncertainty. 

The UK’s FTSE 100 underperformed early in the week, weighed down by weak earnings from energy giant Shell, but rebounded later thanks to strength in mining and commodity sectors. 

European markets benefited from a lower tech exposure and a more cyclical sector mix, which provided some insulation from global risk-off sentiment during early-week volatility. 

Fixed Income: Dovish Fed Boosts Bonds

Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s dovish remarks signalled his support for an interest rate cut at the July meeting, citing easing inflation and a still-robust U.S. jobs market as justification for acting sooner rather than later. 

He also suggested that the Fed shift more of its bond holdings from long-term securities into short-term Treasuries to reduce exposure if inflation picks up again or market conditions deteriorate suddenly. 

Bond markets welcomed the comments, with prices of short- and intermediate-term U.S. Treasuries climbing and yields falling – the 2-year yield dropped to around 4.1%, while the 10-year yield dipped below 4.4%. 

This matters for investors because when interest rates fall, bonds generally become more attractive, especially those with shorter terms that aren’t as affected by rate changes. 

It also suggests that the central bank might start supporting the economy more by cutting rates, which could push bond prices even higher. For anyone already holding bonds, that’s good news – as rates drop, the value of those bonds can go up, giving investors the chance to make a profit if they sell. 

The Importance of Holding Your Nerve

At times like these, amid the media noise surrounding Trump’s tariff announcements and their short-term impact on markets, it’s crucial to remember one of the golden rules of savvy investing: take a long-term view and resist the urge to time the market.  Unfortunately, it is very very difficult for anyone to time markets and reacting to short term market noise to try and make investment decisions rarely works. 

With Trump at the helm, we need to expect and accept volatility and learn to embrace it. Trump likes to throw hand grenades and let them explode, but by now it’s clear that much of it is smoke rather than substance. 

While some of his tariff threats may sound sweeping, much of it is posturing to gain leverage. In the short term, all we can do is watch how it plays out – but reacting impulsively is rarely the answer. 

In the long run, the outlook is far from bleak. Countries adapt, people adapt, and markets adjust. 

A few extra tariffs won’t bring the world economy to a halt, and there remain plenty of strong investment opportunities ahead. The market’s broader reaction suggests the long-term future is not defined by these headlines and it is seeing through the noise. 

At Hoxton Wealth, we help clients stay focused on their goals, and build resilient portfolios designed to thrive over time – whatever the headlines may say. 

Our approach is built on disciplined, long-term investing, personalised advice, and proactive strategies to navigate uncertainty with confidence. Whether it’s market volatility, shifting policies, or global events, we provide the clarity and perspective needed to keep your investments on track. 

In uncertain times, having a clear plan and trusted guidance makes all the difference. We’re here to help you stay the course, invest with confidence, and focus on what truly matters: achieving your long-term financial ambitions. 

If you’re feeling uncertain or want to review your portfolio – we’re here to help.  Our client services team is here to support you – they can be reached by email at client.services@hoxtonwealth.com or on WhatsApp through our new global client services WhatsApp number: +44 7384 100200 

Don’t worry about forecasting every market move – the key is to have a solid plan and stay committed. 

Progress comes from steady, thoughtful steps. Let’s keep moving forward.

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About Author

Chris Ball

July 14, 2025

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